Depending on if you ask a premade or a solo queuer, the win rate you’ll get is very different.
The map design is irrelevant. It’s decided with PvP. Also, the invidivual impact/responsibility is much bigger the smaller the size of the BG.
So you’ll get very different win rates depending on which premade or which solo queuer you ask as well.
If lack of solo rankers (who are usually the bottom of the barrel on both Alliance and Horde side as the actually decent players find spots in premades which are still better H/h on Horde than solo queue) was the main reason for the abysmal Alliance win rate you’d expect the winrate to be much higher on AV weekend. While it does go up slightly it doesn’t get anywhere close to being 50/50. I’d be surprised if it’s above 10%.
Oh, I’m already on it. I think a lot of people are, without even thinking about it. Why go into this miserable bg time after time, knowing well you will lose every game before it even started (as alliance), just for some purple item that you can replace with an equivalent while doing something that’s actually enjoyable like raiding? It’s not worth it and I think a lot of people probably realize that and don’t bother.
Like i wrote before, tho its my opinion created back then when I (and my daughter) use to play classic and AV. I think I played some 30+ games and my kid maybe just a bit less. Last few games I played during my last days on classic, somewhere mid April and I came to conclusion than AV is already being boycotted. Big majority of players were pure PvErs rep (semi-afk) grinders, few constant bots and very few PvPers or casual PvPers like me, and there were even some horde alts too.
So, again I think, (tho can be wrong ofc) that ppl already boycott AV, especially PvPers and to sum it up I dont think more than 3% of alliance playerbase queue it really.
AV is far beyond fixing and will be only worse… sadly
I dont care what are reasons.
Go solo AB or WSG…you will answer yourself the question about “map balance”. Mostly at evenings when premades are active.
There are many factors not just the “map balance” to determine a victory in a bg.
In AV horde behaviour is like a bad premade,they report incs and defend but hardly adapt to new scenarios.When they get cut in the midle, luckily only happens against russians.They will try to rush to vandar in panic( “it´s a race”) some subpar people will try to convince all the horde to move to north.
Alliance in the other hand behave like bots,always do the same cheap tactic trying to mount up and run to nowhere.I dont think they ever report incs and ofc they dont care to adapt.