what is wrong? spent over 4k bounty mat at cube. not a single primal… Seeing many videos from people they found many primal at 5th,6th try but i tried million times at this season not single primal…damn spending time here for nothing…i really started to hate
Meteorblade will tell you the math more precisely.
But if a primal is one out of 400 then it’s 25 bounty mats per roll times 400 which is 10K bounty mats… and there is no guarantee that you’ll get a primal in 400 tries.
2 Likes
Chance of primal is 1 in 400 legendaries, i.e. 0.25% chance.
Each reforge in the Cube costs 5 of each Bounty material.
4000 materials is 1000 reforges.
Number of events = 1000
Probability of success per event = 0.25%
Chance of 1 (or more) successes = 91.82%
That means the chance of not getting at least one primal from 1000 attempts is (100% - 91.82%) = 8.18%
So, a rough estimate is that slightly more than 1 in 12 people would get your result.
1 Like
It’s 5, not 25. You need 5 mats of each act to do a “reforge” and a considerable amount of forgotten souls. If you do a full bounty run of T16, you can reforge 4 times. Yeah, the chance is approximately 1 in 400, so you need around 2000 bounty mats (that’s almost 100 full bounty runs from act 1 to 5) to get there and 20000 forgotten souls. Then there is also the chance that you still won’t find a primal or you will find one that has crappy stats. Last season, i got a primal scythe for my necro after 10 - 20 tries and then i spend 10K bounty mats to get a primal dawn and got nothing.
1 Like