So i decided to look at pack drop rates

General Discussion
1

Note im just bored and felt like making this post because i just felt like sharing my suffering with my rng
Turns out im just unlucky, 20 packs and no legendary but now i know supposedly il get one in at least 20 more packs… huzzah
Also for what ever reason i thought we were guarenteed 1 new card with every pack, turns out i was wrong and thats overwatch’s thing ( i mentioned this cause i a pack had nothing but duplicates)

2

This would be so broken: I could craft the remaining commons,rares and epics from Classic and then I would get a guaranteed legendary in each pack.

3

Depends. Were all these packs from the same expansion?

These are the drop rate rules as they are currently known:

Announced April 2017 to comply with Chinese law:

  • At least one rare or better in each pack
  • Average of 1 epic every 5 packs
  • Average of 1 legendary every 20 packs

Announced June 2017, changes effective August 2017

  • A single pack will never contain three or more copies of the same common, rare, or epic
  • A single pack will never contain two of more copies of the same legendary
  • For a new expansion only, at least one legendary is guaranteed in the first 10 packs
  • Whenever a legendary is opened and you do not posess all legendaries from that expansion, you will find one you do not have yet (the logic for this does not look at golden vs non-golden)

And finally, never officially announced but supported by huge amounts of evidence from the community

  • Pity timer for legendary: after 39 consecutive packs from the same expansion with no legendary, the 40th is guaranteed to include a legendary.
  • Pity timer for epic: after 9 consecutive packs from the same expansion with no epic, the 10th is guaranteed to include an epic.

These counters are tracked per expansion. They are not affected by opening packs from other expansions in between.
There is also strong evidence that the pity timer for legendaries is not a simple switch that turns on at pack number 40, but a formula that already starts increasing the chance of a legendary at pack number 30 or so, until it reaches 100% at pack 40. (I have not seen any claims to support or reject the idea that the epic pity timer works similar).

1 Like
4

Yea its all been from the same expansion, specifically rise of shadows, i guess il be testing to see if this pity timer exists thanks to my bad luck