Well, without clear evidence, we have to take this argument with a grain of salt. After all, it would contradict the testimonies of others where they got a legendary item after 20 lootboxes.
What we know for sure is that, in order to get at least one legendary lootbox, you need to open at least:
- 9 for a 50% chance
- 30 for a 90% chance
- 51 for a 98% chance
- 90 for a 99.9% chance
Looking at those probabilities, it would seem plausible that most players get their legendary item with their 20th to 30th lootbox if they were unlucky. If they were even more unlucky, they end up like Badafarusima.
The probabilities are extremely high at around 30 lootboxes. This phenomenon in probability may have lead to people think that there is a pity timer.
If you’re interested, in this post, I calculated the probability for those cases.
Loot boxes are garbage - #11 by FatBluDragon-2951