That’s not reasonable stats out of so many people, assuming however that it’s 5% for everyone in the raid, and not 5% split.
Every single one of thise 600 kills had a 95% chance for no mount.
That feels fine to me.
This is not how it works with mythic mounts…
the mount from nine is personal loot (pushed to you). The last isn’t.
It is still a 20/1 drop however thats for the entire raid. so even if it does drop, only 1 will receive it (by random). You have a 400/1 chance in other words in a full raid. Do it solo not in a raid.
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It shouldn’t feel fine to you. Your math is wrong. Just because the chance of every attempt to fail is 95% doesn’t mean there are the same odds of failing 10 times until getting the mount or 600.
Every single kill has a 95% chance to fail, but 600 consecutive times hasn’t a 95% of failing absolutely each and every one of them
The chance of those 600 independent events failing each and every one of them is 0.95 ^ 600. As I said, that is 4, 30 × 10^-14. Or 4 in a hundred trillion. In comparison, the odds of winning the Euromillion are 1 in 139 millions.
But what the OP is wrong is on thinking it was 600 attempts. It wasn’t. Because he counted 600 but was going to a 20 men party. That logic works on mounts that drop in personal loot, like GMOD, but only mounts that could drop in LFR work like that. Sylvanas mount is per kill, not per person. So, OP hasn’t failed 600 times. He did it 30 times.
Now, what are the odds of failing 30 times? 0.95 ^ 20. That’s 21%. That means 1 in 4. Those odds, unlike the 4 in a trillion, are perfectly fine
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My MATHS are fine, I just don’t care enough about it to actually work it out.
Go in not expecting to not get it and either you are getting a nice surprise or you are moving on with your day.
I am sorry for you, but math is not opinion. Are not open to debate. Your answers are either true or false. Your math is wrong. I have proven it to you they are wrong. Maths won’t magically change because you don’t like the answer, or because you don’t care. Failing 600 times doesn’t make sense mathematically with the 5% of odds. So, either the OP is wrong with the 600 or with the 5%. He is wrong with the 600
I don’t need it, thank you. I have been farming all the mounts during those 3 weeks and I already got absolutely everything but 4 mounts by just insisting. I have every possible resul. 1 try, 2, 5, 10, 27 and the worst was over 40. The only things reamining for me are mounts I have not enought characters to farm them effectively but even if I don’t get those 4…It has been enought. Way better than was expected
Ah yeah that would explain everything, if the 5% is for it to drop per RUN, and not per PERSON. 
Then the logic behind it not dropping is actually pretty explanatory. Thanks.
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