Hey everyone,
I just had a look on all seasons since BFAs1 (highest keys 20 or 25+) and got some numbers for you about Class Popularity and some Blizzard preferencies to some classes every season.
TANKS:
BDK 24%: 3 Seasons in meta
ProtPaladin 18%: 3 seasons in meta
VDH 17%: 2 seasons in meta
Protwarrior: 16%: 3 seasons in meta
Monks: 15% 2 seasons in meta
Guardians: 10% 1 season in Meta.
We can agree that every 1st season of Expansion there is a huge disbalance among classes on Tank Role: Population of 1 class reaches more then 50% but after that this class is never getting the leading Position during the whole expansion.
Obviously - ProtPaladins will not be meta tank in s2. 55% of Popularity in s1 is way too much.
only 3 Tanks are till now in a very unfair situations and one of it or maybe even 2 (happens every 2nd season) will be prob new meta in s2 - Guardian Druid / Brewmaster / VDH.
VDH nevertheless needs a lot of strange conditions to reach the meta - damage scaling in m+ should be just unexpectedly tough. I think SLs1 was just a misscount and a huge mistake from Blizzard. s2 for VDH looks like a one more not very promising season.
HEALERS:
Druid: 29% - 5 seasons in meta
Evoker 23% - 1 season on a good spot
Shaman 21% - 4 seasons in meta
Paladin 18% - 2 seasons in meta
Priest 17% - 2 seasons in meta
MW 8% - 1 season on a good spot.
Cause I dont believe that they ll make MW great someday (they probably need a huge rework to be competitive with other healers), we will probably see the same situation as in s1 - Druids - Shamans - Evokers - every 2nd season every expansion - there are not a lot of big replacements in Healing Meta
mDPS:
Warrior 9% 0 seasons in meta
Paladin 5% 0 seasons in meta
Hunter 9% 2 seasons in meta
Rogue 29% (absolutely leader every season) 7 seasons in meta already
DK 3% 0 seasons in meta
Shaman 2% 1 season in meta but very externals depending
Monk 12% 2 seasons in meta
Druid 1% 0 seasons in meta
DH 18% already 5 seasons in meta (no wonder that they are getting nerfs every months)
I m sure that rogue will stay on leading positions almost every season and will be in meta next season as well. Pretty possible to see Retribution Paladin on 2nd melee slot cause ProtPaladin will be outed and Paladin as Class has just too many Utilities. Actually feral could take a spot together with retPala and MonkTank. thanks to so many affix counters.
rDPS:
Hunter 14% 3 seasons in meta
Priest 9% 1 season in meta
Shaman 8% 1 season in meta
Mage 20% 7 seasons in meta
Warlock 15% 2 seasons in meta
Druid 17% 6 seasons in meta
Evoker 0%
It s getting really obvious that they are trying to balance all range DPS atm and bring them to the same % of popularity: DFs1 only elemental shamans had strong problems and ofc EvokerDPS. I think they are trying to make this slot for range DPS very Affix Dependant: Every Range Class has something against affixes. Now it looks like some classes are having way too much for dealing with affixes like: Druids Priests and thats it actually - here they are - our meta rangeDPS for s2.
Well what kind of Meta setups we can see in s2:
Guardian / Shaman:Evoker / rogue / retPaladin / Shadow Priest
Monk / Shaman:Evoker / rogue:retPaladin / Shadow Priest / feral Druid
Possible setup if scaling will be scuffed again:
VDH / Shaman:Evoker / retPaladin / Shadow Priest / Boomie
Meta Classes: Paladin, Monk, Priest, Druid, Shaman