There is other psychological effect here. Since Horde knows that there won’t be any new fresh blood on the server, because of transfers and new character creation (if you have none on the realm allready) lockout they do not hope that they would get reinforced to balance server out. This has started the ship jumping. By the time Blizzard unlocks Firemaw (if ever up to the end of Wrath/Classic project) there will be only leftovers of the Horde, just like it happened on many Horde dominated servers with Alliance.
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