Drop rate on some items?

I am farming the tank trinket from De other side dung for days now, did over 20 runes i think, and still cant find it.
Can someone explain to me why some items dont drop? Why need to get insanely mad with the game for wasting all this time griding the same f…ing dung over and over again for days now without any luck AT ALL!
I dont want symbathy or something, i just hate blizzard for it… GG

You’ve done 8 runs, meaning you’re currently at a 27.9% probability to have gotten the trinket

more than 8 runs obviously, 7 runs i did only yesterday. Today 4-5 and in general are over 20
I am 197 i lvl with HC trink cause there are no tank trink i can find…

Good math…

100/runs/loot table amount per class. ?

https://raider.io/characters/eu/argent-dawn/Senp%C3%A5i

8 runs. You may feel like it’s been more than that, but that’s it.

You might increase the chances if you’re in a plate only group. And if everyone sets loot spec to tank.

clearly isnt updated…it takes some days to be updated with current progression cause i already said i did way too many

I do play with platers etc yet doesnt drop,

It updates pretty quick actually. And your last recorded run was 2 hours ago. So, unless you’re 12 runs in, in the past 2 hours, I’m gonna say, unlikely.

FWIW, the IQD is a complete sim-trap and very unpractical in reality.

EDIT: OP is not about IQD but about Hakkar tank one. My point still stands for any readers because there are still people desperately clawing for one of them.

then how i did today over 4-5 and yesterday somewhere the same, maths dont seems to be correct…

oh well. Maybe you counted wrong. Or maybe raider io is bugged out for some reason and somehow didn’t take more than half your runs into consideration.

Even still, the answer’s the same. You got around 15 or so items available in that dungeon and every run gives you a chance for one of them. It’s not like you’re gonna get them all with 20 attempts. Keep at it.

Dude clearly u never been at my place, farming a specific place for 1 item to upgrade the HC dung version of it, with 0 luck at all. I just said it cause i hate blizz for that and i know i wil get it the time i wont need it eventually.

It is what it is.

I’m currently ilvl 197 on my main and i STILL have my heroic plaguefall trinket, and didn’t get a single trinket in 2 weeks and a considerable number of normal mythic 0, mythic+ runs, a few raid runs and 2 vault rewards.

Sometimes you’re just unlucky. At least i get to aim for what i’m after and titanforging is no longer a thing.

So i’m ok with it.

Chance of getting loot is 40%, 10 pieces that can drop for a protection paladin, 8 runs completed

1 - (0.4/10)^8 ≈ 0.279

Yes but op is farming specificly for a target. Thus that % is miles lower.

No. 40% chance to get loot, 10 possible pieces, meaning 4% to get that specific piece.

The probability of something with a 4% chance of happening at least once in 8 attempts is roughly 27.9%.

Raiderio is not registering well. So many runs are missing. It seems it holds the highest runs though.

20 runs is too low with that drop rate. In BFA u need something like 25-35 and drop rates was twice more.

No, Its always gonna be 4% that number will not go higher or lower as there’s nothing implemented by blizzzard that states they raise the drop chance per run or what not.

That number wont ever change.

Some person will ge trinked on first run, some person will get trinked on run 260

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In a static/guild plate only it’s 100%. And the chance of dropping the specific trinket is 2/13 per run(in case it’s timed), so about 15%. So the chance of getting it after x runs should be 1.0 - (1-0.15)^x. In his case with 20 runs that’s 97%.